Saturday, January 31, 2009

GAMEDAY: Boston University vs. the University of Hartford

A winning streak is no easy thing to extend -- especially in the America East, where every one of the nine teams has shown the ability to beat any other on a given night. But the Terriers will look to do just that Saturday against the worst team in the conference (Hartford). The Hawks are on a five game losing streak, while BU will look to push its season-high winning streak to five games. If the Terriers win, they'll tie their longest winning streak in the last three seasons. The game is also televised nationally on ESPNU, which probably gives an added edge to Hartford and its fans as students and others who wouldn't normally attend the game will fill out the stands.

While the Terriers had two days off at the beginning of the week (which undoubtedly helped them regain the strength and stamina they lost over their last trying stretch of four games in nine days) their last two practices have left something to be desired. While the time off was necessary, one wonders if it will hamper the Terriers and remove them from their steadfast groove of solid play.

If that's the case, Hartford's an ideal opponent for BU to start its newest fatigue-plagued stretch against (four games in eight days). The Hawks have the worst record in the conference and haven't lived up to expectations. To make matters worse, they lost their best player in mid-December (junior guard Joe Zeglinski) and he won't return this season. Zeglinski was averaging 15.3 points per game. Since his departure, senior guard Jaret von Rosenberg has shouldered the load, scoring 13.7 points per game. While Hartford is a decent offensive team (63.7 points per game), their defense has been their downfall. In addition, the Hawks doesn't rebound particularly well (especially offensively), so if they're struggling from the field, they probably won't get many second chances at net.

For the Terriers, John Holland and Corey Lowe have been unbelievable since the beginning of conference play. Lowe is averaging 18.2 points per game, while Holland is averaging 17.8 points per game (third and fourth in the conference respectively). In addition to BU's two biggest scoring threats, however, the Terriers will need contributions from their big men in the middle. Scott Brittain has averaged 11.1 points and 6.1 rebounds per game since being re-inserted into the starting lineup. BU coach Dennis Wolff, however, is still looking for more out of his junior forward and much more from freshman forward Jeff Pelage. Pelage has been a bit of an enigma this season as he's shown flashes of brilliance, but hasn't been able to consistently display the proper effort necessary for a collegiate basketball player. If he does, Pelage could be an extremely dangerous weapon for the Terriers, especially given the shortened bench.

Projected starting lineups:


Wednesday, January 28, 2009

State of America East

Early in conference play, the standings have a tendency to appear out-of-order. Looking at the wins and losses, it's easy to imagine conference upheaval. Sure, one win by an upstart team might be an upset, but aren't two or three wins a trend?

There's parity in America East this year, for sure, but as three conference games become six or seven, the cream starts to rise to the top (and to continue the coffee metaphor, you might find an unpleasant residue at the bottom). Is your team's present outlook sweet or bitter? Let's take a look:

America East Power Rankings (records versus D-I opponents)

1. Vermont Catamounts
14-6 (5-2 America East), RPI 123, SOS 247
Last week: W 79-65 at Hartford, W 72-56 vs. New Hampshire
This week: 1/28 vs. Maine, 1/31 at New Hampshire

After starting off on the wrong foot in conference play Vermont has reasserted itself as the class of America East. Five straight wins by double-digit margins -- three of them coming on the road -- have propelled the Catamounts all the way up to the top of the standings. Marqus Blakely looks more human with each passing game, collecting only one double-double in conference play (how often does one double-double sound abnormally low?), but the Catamounts' exceptional balance leads to consistently strong performances.

2. Boston University Terriers
10-9 (5-2 AE), RPI 176, SOS 207
Last week: W 80-77 vs. Maryland-Baltimore County (2 OT), W 73-62 at Maine
This week: 1/31 at Hartford

The Terriers' marathon is finally over. Finding a way to string together wins without Tyler Morris and Carlos Strong originally appeared to be a daunting task, but it turns out BU is doing just fine with its depleted roster -- for now. Corey Lowe and John Holland have been asked to turn in superhuman performances. So far the duo has delivered, with Holland leading all America East players in scoring during conference play and Lowe ranking third. Lowe is also second in assists per game. Even more surprisingly, BU has been able to tough out wins. Who ever thought the Terriers could be described as a gritty team, or even a clutch team? In any case, this week offers a well-deserved rest leading up to a nationally televised game at Hartford, with a chance to be 6-2 at the break.

3. Binghamton Bearcats
11-7 (5-2 AE), RPI 152, SOS 258
Last week: W 60-47 at New Hampshire
This week: 1/28 at Maryland-Baltimore County, 1/31 vs. Maine

The Bearcats are without Dwayne Jackson, who has been suspended indefinitely, but didn't look any worse for wear while in Durham. D.J. Rivera had just six points, which can be interpreted in any number of ways. Maybe the Bearcats are finding ways to win without relying too heavily on their stars. On the other hand, maybe Binghamton's leading scorer is starting to wear down from the burden being placed on his shoulders. One of the quieter storylines has been the disappearance of Theo Davis, who has yet to log a single minute in conference play. In any case, the Bearcats haven't appeared to need Davis' services so far.

4. Albany Great Danes
12-8 (4-3 AE), RPI 121, SOS 217
Last week: L 58-45 vs. Stony Brook, W 80-71 vs. Maryland-Baltimore County
This week: 1/28 vs. Hartford

Of the teams in America East with winning records, Albany is by far the most reliant on freshmen and sophomores. That bodes well for the future, but at present it produces some maddening changes in performance level from game to game. After appearing to be invincible at home for the first half of the season, the Great Danes came out flat against Stony Brook. Albany's high turnover rate on offense gets the Danes into trouble on occassion. Not coincidentally, Albany's turnover rate decreases substantially when the Danes play at home. Like other variations from game to game, the poor level of play exhibited against the Seawolves was corrected against the Retrievers. Watch out, Hartford.

5. Stony Brook Seawolves
10-9 (3-4 AE), RPI 196, SOS 277
Last week: W 58-45 at Albany, W 72-63 vs. Hartford
This week: 1/28 vs. New Hampshire, 1/31 vs. Maryland-Baltimore County

Stony Brook's brief trip to the cellar was quickly terminated last week with a pair of wins. The Brook's triumph against Albany was its best win of the year -- don't let the name fool you, Air Force is not particularly impressive this season. The Seawolves' freshmen have momentum. Now the task is sustaining it. UMBC is reeling from a combination of fatigue, injuries, and crushing losses, but New Hampshire comes first, and the Wildcats have beaten Stony Brook in six of the last seven meetings. Old habits die hard.

6. Maine Black Bears
7-12 (3-4 AE), RPI 252, SOS 228
Last week: L 73-62 vs. Boston University
This week: 1/28 at Vermont, 1/31 at Binghamton

Maine couldn't have asked for a better start against the Terriers last weekend. Up 27-9 in the first half, the Black Bears had things under control. Of course, that's precisely when things started to unravel. It wasn't necessarily the offense's fault. Maine averaged more than one point per possession for the fourth consecutive game. No, instead the defense collapsed. More than most teams, the Black Bears need a strong defensive performance in order to win. Ten teams have averaged more than a point per possession against Maine, and all ten of those teams have won. With two more conference leaders on the horizon, the odds of Black Bear success in the near future are fairly low.

7. New Hampshire Wildcats
6-11 (2-4 AE), RPI 274, SOS 292
Last week: L 60-47 vs. Binghamton, L 72-56 at Vermont
This week: 1/28 at Stony Brook, 1/31 vs. Vermont

The Wildcats carried momentum into their double-overtime loss to Maine. It appears that momentum decided to stay behind at the Alfond. Two consecutive losses, each by a sizable margin, leave UNH in a familiar position: seventh, precisely where it finished a year ago with similar personnel. Sooner or later the image of the Wildcats as a team loaded with talented perimeter players and jump-shooters is going to fade away, and rightfully so. That image, quite frankly, isn't accurate. New Hampshire shoots a lot of 3s, but fully 70 percent of them end up as misses. The Wildcats are much more competent on the defensive end, largely due to outstanding defensive rebounding. If UNH could do a better job of keeping opponents off the free throw line, its defense would be excellent. As it is, the Wildcats are relegated to being average defensively and atrocious offensively.

8. Hartford Hawks
6-15 (2-5 AE), RPI 250, SOS 156
Last week: L 79-65 vs. Vermont, L 72-63 at Stony Brook
This week: 1/28 at Albany, 1/31 vs. Boston University

Despite the loss of Joe Zeglinski, the Hawks have managed to not embarrass themselves too much in America East play. The problem is, they rarely manage to actually win a game. Nobody can criticize the Hawks' effort or desire, but losing repeatedly by reasonable margins doesn't get a team anywhere but the cellar. Once or twice a month the Hawks manage a strong effort, either on offense or defense, and pull out a win. Maybe in February we'll see another one.

9. Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers
7-11 (2-5 AE), RPI 229, SOS 215
Last week: L 80-77 at Boston University (2 OT), L 80-71 at Albany
This week: 1/28 vs. Binghamton, 1/31 at Stony Brook

There's a lot more fight in the Retrievers than most last-place teams usually have. That's further evidence of the parity in America East this year. On the other hand, UMBC isn't likely to see much improvement from its star players, and there aren't many other sources to get additional production from, given the thin bench. This is the danger of under-utilizing the bench on a healthy team: when you need bench players to replace production, they aren't ready to step in. To be fair, UMBC never had much of a bench to work with in the first place, but the few remaining reserves aren't prepared to play at this level. Unless those players manage to step up, the Retrievers will find it tough sledding from here on out.

Conference performance
OOC record: 52-57 (Last 7 days: 0-0)
Conference RPI: 16 out of 31 (last week: 16)
Conference SOS: 20 out of 31 (last week: 24)

Conference SOS improved, probably because the AE is better than usual and AE members are playing conference games. There aren't any non-conference games scheduled until ESPN BracketBusters on February 21st.

Efficiency
All games:


Conference games only:


Now that America East play is almost halfway completed, there's enough data to produce a conference-only efficiency table with some real meaning. The methodology for generating this will be detailed a bit farther down, but first let's take a look at the numbers.

Anyone wondering what separates the Terriers and the Bearcats (well, besides the Terriers' win in Vestal), look no further than the efficiency margin for conference play. The Terriers' offense is the conference's best on a per-possession basis, and it's fueling Boston University's +10.3 overall margin. While the defense needs to be tightened up a bit, it's going to be hard for other teams to keep up with the Terriers' ability to score the basketball.

On a more negative note, the Retrievers look pretty bad on a per-possession basis. Hartford has still been worse over the course of the entire season, but the Hawks' early-season schedule was significantly harder. Strength of schedule can be factored out when generating the conference table because everyone plays everyone else twice over the course of the season, and after almost one complete trip through the conference Hartford appears competent if not particularly threatening. UMBC is last overall and lacks potency on either side of the ball, ranking 8th in offensive efficiency and 9th in defensive efficiency.

As was alluded to earlier, New Hampshire is lacking on the offensive side of the ball. The Wildcats' deficiencies on offense haven't improved in conference play, either. Against an average defense, the difference between UNH's offense and the Terriers' league-best attack is more than one point per five possessions. Over the course of one game played at the pace of those two teams (59.5 possessions per 40 minutes for each team), that's about 12 points. UNH's defense ranks 4th in the conference, but defense gets you nowhere when you can't score. Both Alvin Abreu and Tyrone Conley have eFG% marks in the low 40s; the resulting offensive ineptitude shouldn't come as a surprise.

Now for a quick note about the methodology used for compiling these tables. Both tables' metrics measure the same things (points per possession and tempo), but over different sets of data. The overall table includes data from every game -- you can find the numbers at Ken Pomeroy's site, kenpom.com, under raw offensive efficiency, raw defensive efficiency, and tempo. Margin, as explained in previous editions of this feature, is the difference between a team's offensive and defensive efficiency.

The conference-only table requires a bit more work. Kenpom doesn't provide conference-only statistics, so the raw data for each game (points scored, points allowed, and possessions) were put in an Excel spreadsheet and used to generate the efficiency statistics. Adjustments are made for the number of overtimes each team has played -- the Terriers' tempo would be significantly higher if they weren't credited for an additional 30 minutes played. Each week's spreadsheet, starting with this week, is available upon request.

Monday, January 26, 2009

The Day After: (BU 73, Maine 62)

Finally, the Terriers have a chance to breathe. And do more than that, actually, as their brutal stretch of four games in nine days (which turned even more demanding, physically at least, when the team played six overtimes periods in a span of three nights) is over. The silver lining? BU won all four games to vault them over the .500 mark for the first time since they were 5-4 in December and pull into a three-way tie with Binghamton and Vermont (both 5-2) in conference play.

What's more is the way the Terriers capped their four-game stretch -- with an 11-point victory in frigid Alfond Arena after trailing by 18 points in the first half (73-62). In all honesty, BU could have collapsed. They could have allowed fatigue to become an all-too-easy excuse for the early deficit (though it was actually a sloppy zone defense and lack of shooting) and still had a phenomenal week in conference play with a 3-1 record. But they didn't. Instead, this group -- which was has been mercilessly criticized throughout the course of the season and some of their careers for not being tough enough at the end of games to close out victories, even with a big lead -- summoned enough energy to overcome the deficit on the road and put themselves right back in the talk for conference title contenders. It's somewhere not many people would have placed the Terriers, especially after the news came that Tyler Morris and Carlos Strong were lost for the season, but BU has looked to have proven their doubters wrong.

While the result of the week that was is extremely impressive and encouraging (and the team is on a season-high four-game winning streak, averaging 83.3 points over those last four contests), BU's work doesn't get any easier, nor will it for the remainder of the season (with perhaps the exception of the BracketBusters game, which doesn't hold nearly the importance of BU's conference contests). The victory against Maine marked the beginning of a stretch where the Terriers will play three in a row on the road and five of seven.

While Corey Lowe (who set BU's all-time record for 3-pointers made in a career), John Holland and Jake O'Brien are the Terriers' main scoring threats since conference play started, the current run would not have been possible had it not been for the contributions from Scott Brittain and Matt Wolff. Brittain has almost worked back to his sophomore-year form and is playing with perhaps the most confidence he has in his career. Since the start of conference play (and consequently, his insertion into the starting lineup) he's averaging 11.1 points and 6.1 rebounds per game (and 8.0 in BU's last four). Wolff, while often criticized for not putting up flashy numbers, remains a key contributor for the Terriers -- games like his seven-assist, six-rebound performance against Maine and his defensive lockdown of Darryl Proctor late in Thursday's victory against UMBC are two prime recent examples.

In a wide-open conference, the Terriers have as much momentum as any other team heading into their bye week. Rest before Saturday's game at Hartford couldn't have come at a better time for a team fighting fatigue (and that will be fighting fatigue all season).

Pros:
-- 20 Assists: BU notched a season-high in assists with a season-high (for any Terrier) nine from Lowe and seven from Wolff. BU's win at Alfond last season sparked a major winning streak and a key turnaround after an offensive switch. The team has already started playing better prior to a visit to Alfond, but perhaps this win will keep them going.
-- Man-to-man defense: Though the Terriers have been playing a matchup zone for the majority of the conference schedule, BU coach Dennis Wolff decided to switch to a man and it helped fuel the 18-point comeback victory. It's a great sign that BU can now use two defenses effectively after primarily being a man-to-man team for the whole season.

Cons:
-- Slow start: For the second-straight game, BU started sluggishly. While fatigue may be an acceptable excuse, the Terriers can't get used to a winning formula of having to climb out of early holes.
-- Marques Johnson's minutes: While Johnson's performance against Albany may have been an anomaly, he should probably be playing more than three minutes a game because the Terriers may need him down the stretch, especially if fatigue does become a serious issue.

Links
:
MBball wins fourth straight

Black Bears' start trumped by BU's finish

Sunday, January 25, 2009

Stat of the Week

5.2

Assists per game, that is. Since being benched by BU coach Dennis Wolff in the conference opener against the University at Albany, Lowe has started every America East contest at the point -- a place he's familiar with and has played before at BU, but that's certainly not his natural position. That said, Lowe is playing what is arguable the best basketball of his career (and has been awarded the America East Player of the Week award because of it), with a 33-point performance against Stony Brook, 26 points two days later against UMBC and 15 against Maine.

More impressive than the point totals, however, has been his ability to control the game. It's no mistake that BU has won four-straight games and six of seven since he's returned to the point. He's making the right reads on most offensive sets and notched a season-high (for any BU player) nine assists in Sunday's win against Maine. During the same time, he's committed just 3.8 turnovers per game, and that number is skewed thanks to seven turnovers in the quadruple overtime marathon. Lowe's current play is reminicent of the facilitator role he took on toward the end of last season when the Terriers went on their five-game winning streak.

Friday, January 23, 2009

The Day After: (BU 80, UMBC 77 2 OT's)

Six overtimes in two games at Case Gymnasium is no way to treat the Boston University men's basketball teams' bodies, but it's one heck of a way to treat the fans -- especially with the results of both games were favorable for the Terrier faithful.

Despite the immense amount of minutes the short-staffed team has logged over the last two contests (coming in the middle of a four games in eight-day trip) the Terriers once again found a way to win in the face of a potential collapse. A polar opposite of the thriller against Stony Brook (which was close wire to wire... to wire, to wire) the Retrievers took a 9-3 lead in the first half before the Terriers gained control and upped their lead to 19 points a minute into the second half. Then the comeback -- fulled by one of the best players in the conference in Darryl Proctor and also by BU's fatigue (as BU coach Dennis Wolff said in the press conference).

Still for two teams whose benches were fairly short, the game was played as passionately as any in America East this season. Once again, Corey Lowe was able to summon extra energy as the game dragged on and help the Terriers to their third-straight win, especially when John Holland was admittedly tired toward the end of the second half and wasn't dominating the scoring like he did against Stony Brook.

Pros:
-- Corey Lowe's poise: Lowe once again dug deep and found that extra spark of energy that allowed him to make some crucial plays down the stretch and lead BU to victory.
-- Matt Wolff's 52-footer: Longest shot a Terriers' made since Corey Hassan knocked down a prayer past half court that he let go too late (against Maine at Agganis in the 2005-06 season), so it didn't count. Best part was, he almost pulled up from 52 feet and calmly knocked it down. No fist pump, smile, anything. Just a jog to the locker room up big.

Cons:
-- Near collapse: It's happened too many times to feel confident it won't again, but the last two wins certainly help alleviate some of those thoughts. Still, blowing a 19-point lead to a team with two players on the bench and a woozy starting point guard isn't encouraging.
-- Jake O'Brien's shooting: While it's a given players are going to have bad shooting nights, some of O'Brien's misses on his 2-of-11 evening were wide-open looks. He's had rough games like this before, but hasn't seemed to let it impact his game for an extended period of time.

Links:
How many more (over)times
Lowe records another big game
Terriers perfect exhaust system
Case of deja vu for Terriers

Thursday, January 22, 2009

Post-game Audio & Photos (BU 80, UMBC 77 2 OT's)



Audio from BU's 80-77 double overtime win against the University of Maryland-Baltumore County.

BU coach Dennis Wolff's opening statement


Wolff was unsure of how his team would perform after a shaky shootaround


Wolff talks about the possibility of fatigue with his short bench


Corey Lowe discusses a special burst of energy he gets toward the end of games


John Holland is fatigued after playing 104 minutes in two games


Scott Brittain reflects on gaining confidence after his best performance of the season


UMBC coach Randy Monroe's opening statement


Monroe talks about what he saw from his team in the second half


Monroe sings the praises of John Holland and Corey Lowe

Live Blog: University of Maryland-Baltimore County vs. Boston University



Tonight's game between the University of Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers (8-9, 2-3) and the Boston University Terriers (8-9, 3-2) tips off at 7:00 p.m.

There's no word on whether Jay Greene will be active for tonight's game, so here are the starting lineups assuming he won't be playing.

University of Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers
02 G Jay Greene
21 F Matt Spadafora
23 G Chauncey Gilliam
30 F Justin Fry
32 F Darryl Proctor

Boston University Terriers
02 F Matt Wolff
13 G Corey Lowe
21 F Jake O'Brien
23 F John Holland
31 F Scott Brittain

Final score: Boston University 80, University of Maryland-Baltimore County 77 (2 OT's)

Leading scorers:
UMBC -- Darryl Proctor, 27
BU -- Corey Lowe, 26

Leading rebounders:
UMBC -- Justin Fry, 9
BU -- Two tied at 9

Leading assists:
UMBC -- Jay Greene, 10
BU -- Corey Lowe, 6

GAMEDAY: University of Maryland-Baltimore County vs. Boston University

John Holland made headlines Monday by playing all 60 minutes of the Terriers' four-overtime win against Stony Brook. Some focused on the will and determination required to play every second of such a long contest, while others questioned the decision to rely so heavily on the starting five (every BU starter logged at least 47 minutes) during the busy conference schedule. With a depleted roster, do you go deeper into your bench to spread out the workload or ride your starters as far as they'll take you?

The Retrievers of Maryland-Baltimore County are an example of a shallow rotation taken to its logical extreme. When his team is healthy, UMBC head coach Randy Monroe opts to use just six of his players: Darryl Proctor, Jay Greene, Matt Spadafora, Justin Fry, Chauncey Gilliam, and Rich Flemming. Jake Wasco is the only other Retriever to play more than 10 percent of available minutes, just making it over the barrier with 10.3 percent. Amazingly, Darryl Proctor and Jay Greene are first and second in percent of minutes played for all of Division-I. Not only that, but Greene ranks as high as he does despite missing Monday's game against Vermont.

Greene, sidelined for Monday's game by a concussion, was joined on the bench that day by Rich Flemming, who had twisted his knee in practice the day before. Missing two players from an already thin squad, the Retrievers had no chance against Vermont in a 76-42 loss. The news got worse for UMBC after the game was over: Flemming's knee needs to be scoped. With the forward out indefinitely, an already thin Retriever front court grows even thinner.

Greene is the heart of the UMBC offense. While it's never safe to assume a player is ready to return from a concussion until he appears on the the court (Monroe considers Greene's injury day-to-day; Greene practiced yesterday), there isn't much to analyze without making that assumption. Ball security is the Retrievers' calling card. Greene's assist-to-turnover ratio exceeds 2.5, and as a team UMBC ranks eighth in the nation in turnover rate, surrendering the ball prematurely on less than 17 percent of its possessions. While much of this stems from Greene's excellence, Darryl Proctor is also a contributor, committing just 32 turnovers despite an extremely high usage rate.

If the Retriever offense starts with Greene, it usually ends with Proctor. The 6-4 senior forward is averaging more than 20 points per game in conference play, second only to John Holland. Proctor also ranks third in the conference in rebounds per game. Greene has had to assume an increased scoring role out of necessity, but Proctor is still the Retrievers' first option every time down the court. This is reflected in his scoring totals game-by-game. Proctor's lowest output for the season is 13 points; he and Binghamton's D.J. Rivera are the only America East players to score in double figures every game this season.

The Terriers have had just two days off to recover from Monday's marathon. UMBC is arguably the team most poorly equipped to take advantage of BU's lack of rest -- with such a thin bench, the Retrievers may be even more concerned than the Terriers about maintaining their energy level -- but fatigue is likely to play a role. The formula for beating Maryland-Baltimore County is relatively simple: slow down UMBC's primary offensive threats and take care of the basketball. The Terriers have the advantage heading into this one, but giving any team extra possessions promises nothing but trouble. Every team in the league has two or more losses, BU included, so this game is an important one.

Links:
M. Bball hosts wounded Retrievers tonight
Injuries may contain a silver lining

Projected starting lineups:


Tuesday, January 20, 2009

The Day After: (BU 99, Stony Brook 97, 4 OT's)

Remember how the Boise State-Oklahoma Fiesta Bowl was so bone-chillingly exciting that it made it onto ESPN Classic the very next day as an "Instant Classic"? Well, had the Terriers been on any sort of television station, their game against Stony Brook University yesterday afternoon could very well have ended up on that network give how thrilling the game was.

Not only was BU able to prevail in a close game (something this junior class is notorious for not being able to do) but the contest featured a number of exceptional individual performances -- John Holland's career-high in 3's and 60 minutes played, Corey Lowe's dominant take-over of the second half and overtimes, Chris Martin's sheer willpower and fight to keep his team in the game, Tommy Brenton's SBU record-setting 17 rebounds. All of those, mixed with a number of memorable plays including: Muhammad El-Amin's game-tying 3-pointer at the buzzer, Scott Brittain's brilliant spinning post move just before that, Jake O'Brien's 3-pointer in the second overtime to give the Terriers hope, Lowe's length-of-the-court drive to tie the game, made it one of the more memorable experiences at The Roof in quite some time.

Sure, we could sit here and analyze how brilliant individual performances were, and don't get me wrong, I'm not taking any credit away from any individual, but aside from the small shooting percentage disparity, the stats were nearly identical. Rather, what the 500+ fans and reporters witnessed in Monday's quadruple overtime thriller was (though BU coach Dennis Wolff refused to acknowledge anything of the sort) a big step for the Terriers and one that showed they do possess the heart, grit and determination to win at all costs -- in the face of tough shots, untimely mistakes and four frickin' overtimes.

The win was a big step not only because they accomplished the feat with a short bench (Holland played a school record 60 minutes and both O'Brien and Lowe played 56), but because after giving up an 11-point second half lead or going down by five points with less than a minute to go in the second overtime, this team might have folded in the past. But not yesterday. Yesterday Wolff expressed how proud he was of his team for the effort they gave and in a virtual 180-degree turn from the efforts they put forth against Cornell and Holy Cross, BU was the team with enough will and determination to get the job done. Never have I seen, or many people there probably seen, such desire and passion from two teams for that long a period as even the first half was played at a high level (intensity and execution-wise). Usually overtimes are anti-climactic, but each extra session built upon itself right up until the final play where Stony Brook could have (and probably should have) tied it again with a tip-in by Brenton.

If anything, the win finally puts to bed the notion that the Terriers are flat-out unable to close out games. Corey Lowe had the most to do with that during his performance for the ages in the second half and overtimes (scoring all 33 of his points in that time span), but so did the entire team, right down to two of their more important missing pieces in dress clothes at the end of the bench in Tyler Morris and Carlos Strong, who were just as emotionally invested in what was happening as the players on the court.

Both teams deserve an immense amount of credit (not to sound like a coach, but it's true) for being able to find a way to keep playing for 20 extra minutes and continue playing at such a high level. It's not something any of these players have done before in their collegiate careers and it's probably something they'll never do again.

While none of BU's games have seemed to impact the next (take the extremely encouraging loss against Notre Dame which led to a five-game losing streak for example), it will once again be interesting to see how the Terriers respond following one of the most resounding wins in program history.

Pros
:
-- John Holland's minutes: Holland, who used to be criticized for a lack of toughness as early as the beginning of this season, certainly toughened-up for this one as he never left the floor. Holland played all 60 minutes of the marathon, a feat he will hold in the BU record books for quite some time (probably all-time) and one that commands an immense amount of respect.
-- Corey Lowe's takeover: Lowe was absolutely dominant after "waking up" in the second half, connecting on half of his field goals (11-of-22), a game-tying layup with four seconds left in the second overtime and a number of fearless drives to the basket.
-- Scott Brittain's move: While it was only one play, and many could be selected, to see such a powerful confident move from the big man at crunch time is something nobody has seen from him much in the past and it's a great sign for BU moving forward.

Cons
:
-- Jeff Pelage's missed dunk: Pelage had a great game and continues to improve, but the dunk could have given BU some serious momentum. Instead, the miss helped Stony Brook complete their 11-point comeback.
-- Zone rebounding: This really shouldn't be here as anything to criticize in the third and fourth overtimes should be thrown out the window, but the Terriers did have some trouble rebounding out of the zone, which forced Wolff to use a man-to-man defense later in the game.

Links
:
ESPN Radio Interview with Dennis Wolff
BU-Stony Brook was an extra special game (Bob Ryan)
Gone in 60 minutes
BU wins in fourth overtime
Stony Brook falls in 4OT's to BU

State of America East

It's been a long week in America East play -- for the purposes of this feature, it was an eight-day week! -- and the extra time hasn't helped alleviate anyone's confusion. Up is down and down is up, with bottom-feeders pulling surprise upsets, conference leaders falling faster than new ones can be anointed, and more than one contest requiring extra time. Yes, it's a long week filled with longer games, which means it's time for our longest regular feature. To the power rankings!

America East Power Rankings (records versus D-I opponents only)

1. Vermont Catamounts
11-6 (3-2 America East), RPI 131, SOS 241
Last week: W 70-56 at Boston University, W 83-72 at Stony Brook, W 76-42 vs. Maryland-Baltimore County
This week: 1/22 at Hartford

Mike Lonergan's team must be listening to some Bachman-Turner Overdrive in the locker room, because after a slow start to conference play the Catamounts are taking care of business. Okay, it sounds cheesy, but you get the point. Close losses to the upstate SUNY schools were tough for the Vermont faithful to swallow, but two double-digit road wins and yesterday's demolition of UMBC have helped to right the ship in a hurry. In this year's jumbled conference, a 3-2 record isn't a hole to climb out of. The Catamounts are within easy striking distance of first place and have three relatively soft opponents on the horizon. Of course, it's tough to say which opponents are soft and which aren't this year, but it shouldn't surprise anyone if Vermont is 6-2 and streaking two weeks from now.

2. Albany Great Danes
11-7 (3-2 AE), RPI 105, SOS 233
Last week: W 72-66 vs. Binghamton, L 72-61 at Maine
This week: 1/23 vs. Stony Brook, 1/25 vs. Maryland-Baltimore County

With wins over Vermont, Boston, and Binghamton, Albany finds itself in excellent shape. The double-digit loss to Maine is troubling, though: it's the Danes' second loss of ten or more points to teams Albany was expected to beat. The Danes are perfect at home, which will serve them well as conference play continues, and three upcoming home games suggest the Danes will win more in the near future.

3. Boston University Terriers
8-9 (3-2 AE), RPI 204, SOS 220
Last week: L 70-56 vs. Vermont, W 81-64 at Binghamton, W 99-97 vs. Stony Brook (4 OT)
This week: 1/22 vs. Maryland-Baltimore County, 1/25 at Maine

Losing to Vermont in Agganis certainly wasn't what Dennis Wolff wanted from his team, but the Catamounts' two subsequent results suggest BU may have caught Vermont at the wrong time. In any case, the Terriers earned a huge win in Binghamton to even their conference record before outlasting Stony Brook in yesterday's epic four-overtime game. Despite the loss of two significant contributors, BU's current roster appears more than capable of getting the job done. With UMBC reeling after its loss in Burlington, the Terriers have a golden opportunity to build a winning streak and force their way into the regular season title picture.

4. Binghamton Bearcats
10-7 (4-2 AE), RPI 168, SOS 262
Last week: L 72-66 at Albany, L 81-64 vs. Boston University, W 66-59 vs. Hartford
This week: 1/22 at New Hampshire

The Bearcats are never short of surprises. Just when the team appeared to be ready to assert itself as conference favorites, momentum swung the other way -- and it did so in a hurry. Beating Hartford at home helps, but it doesn't stop the bleeding, just slow it down. But wait, there's more: Per the Binghamton Press & Sun-Bulletin, Dwayne Jackson has been suspended indefinitely. Is concern unjustified here? Perhaps, but perhaps not. Some teams don't handle success well, particularly newfound success. Most of Binghamton's core contributors weren't even on the team last year.

5. Maine Black Bears
7-11 (3-3 AE), RPI 238, SOS 235
Last week: L 76-71 at Hartford, W 72-61 vs. Albany, W 78-75 vs. New Hampshire (2 OT)
This week: 1/25 vs. Boston University

Maine in fifth? What? Calm down. Spots five through nine in this week's power rankings are about as close as can be. A few things put Maine just a hair above the next four contenders. Maine has three conference wins in a conference where wins aren't easy to come by. Maine also has a positive point differential in conference play. While Maine has two losses against teams below it in these rankings, both of those losses were road losses, and both were decided by less than five points. On a neutral court, either of those games could have ended differently. None of those things make Maine clearly better than teams six through nine, but in combination they're reason enough to give the Black Bears the fifth spot.

6. New Hampshire Wildcats
6-9 (2-2 AE), RPI 266, SOS 317
Last week: W 65-47 vs. Maryland-Baltimore County, W 68-59 at Dartmouth, L 78-75 at Maine (2 OT)
This week: 1/22 vs. Binghamton

Yes, New Hampshire was last in the power rankings one short week ago, but things are changing quickly in this conference. Consider how close New Hampshire came to being 3-1 and atop the America East standings. For all the Wildcats' troubles away from Durham, UNH has won both its home games against conference opponents and has a chance to make a real statement against Binghamton on Thursday.

7. Stony Brook Seawolves
8-9 (1-4 AE), RPI 231, SOS 287
Last week: W 60-52 at Dartmouth, L 83-72 at Vermont, L 99-97 at Boston University (4 OT)
This week: 1/23 at Albany, 1/25 vs. Hartford

There are no ties in basketball, but you can't get much closer to one than Stony Brook did against the Terriers yesterday afternoon. Stony Brook is last in the conference and needs to find a way to grab some W's, but the Seawolves aren't guilty of poor play. It's been close but no cigar for Stony Brook this month. The Seawolves are a young team, but they need to remember what provided the difference in close wins from earlier this season and apply that knowledge. Unlike previous years, this team knows how to win -- they just aren't right now.

8. Hartford Hawks
6-12 (2-3 AE), RPI 239, SOS 172
Last week: W 76-71 vs. Maine, L 69-60 at Maryland-Baltimore County, L 66-59 at Binghamton
This week: 1/22 vs. Vermont, 1/25 at Stony Brook

The Hawks are another team finding ways to take care of business at home in the AE, winning both their games in Hartford. The problem here isn't just Hartford, it's the schedule: if Hartford can't beat Vermont at home, two road games follow. The Hawks could easily be 2-6 halfway through conference play. After scoring 26 points in a win over Maine, Jaret von Rosenberg's output has dropped the past two games; Hartford needs Rosenberg to replace Joe Zeglinski's point production in order to win consistently.

9. Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers
7-9 (2-3 AE), RPI 208, SOS 208
Last week: L 65-47 at New Hampshire, W 69-60 vs. Hartford, L 76-42 at Vermont
This week: 1/22 at Boston University, 1/25 at Albany

It's not that UMBC is markedly worse than the rest of the teams in America East. It's just that the margin for error in Baltimore is so much thinner. Subtract a player, even two players, from Boston or Hartford, and those teams are still competitive. Compare that to the Retrievers' performance in Vermont yesterday. Without Jay Greene or Rich Flemming on the floor, Maryland-Baltimore County was painfully thin. Bakari Smith, Brett Burrier, and Jake Wasco are not productive players at this level, at least not yet. Even with Greene and Flemming, UMBC was blown out by New Hampshire and has struggled elsewhere, even at home. The Maine win was painfully close at the end, and Stony Brook proved to be more than the Retrievers could handle -- and those games were at home. UMBC's road performance has been abysmal, and with two road games upcoming, that doesn't bode well for the Retrievers.

Conference performance
OOC record: 52-57 (Last 7 days: 2-0)
Conference RPI: 16 out of 31 (last week: 16)
Conference SOS: 24 out of 31 (last week: 24)

Two wins over Dartmouth pushed the OOC record slightly closer to .500. Other than that, there's nothing going on with the conference metrics.

Efficiency margins


As you might have noticed by now, the full-season efficiency table isn't the most useful tool to evaluate conference play. Stony Brook might finish second in the conference when it's all said and done, but the Seawolves' play against conference opponents suggests otherwise. Don't worry, there's an easy solution: starting with next week's feature, we'll be adding a second table showing efficiency margins for conference games only. Not only will the addition help weight more recent performance by throwing out all the results from November and December, but restricting the sample to America East games also partially controls for strength of opponent, making the raw efficiency numbers more useful.

Monday, January 19, 2009

Around the League: 1.19.09

Monday's games:

Binghamton 66, Hartford 59
The Bearcats got 50 of their 66 of their points from the bench. Unusual? Not really -- Kevin Broadus benched his starting guards for yesterday's game before introducing them shortly after the tip. Hartford (6-13, 2-3 America East) gave the Bearcats trouble early by employing a tight zone defense, but in the second half Binghamton (11-7, 4-2 AE) found its shooting touch and outscored the visiting Hawks 47-32 in the final 20 minutes. D.J. Rivera led all scorers with 24 points; Reggie Fuller added 10 rebounds and 4 blocks for the Bearcats, who find themselves back atop the conference standings after snapping a three-game losing streak.

Vermont 76, Maryland-Baltimore County 42

With both Jay Greene and Rich Flemming sidelined by injury, the visiting Retrievers never had a chance in this one. Vermont (12-6, 3-2 AE) led by 17 at the half and continued to build on its lead throughout the second half. Maryland-Baltimore County (8-9, 2-3 AE) was crippled from the outset, but it would have been nice to see more than three Retrievers score. Maurice Joseph led the Catamounts with a career-high 19 points fueled by six made threes.

Maine 78, New Hampshire 75 (2 OT)

Stony Brook and Boston University weren't the only schools determined to play past the end of regulation. Host Maine (8-11, 3-3 AE) needed all 50 minutes to knock off New Hampshire (7-9, 2-2) and prevent the Wildcats from retaining possession of first place. UNH grabbed 25 offensive rebounds but shot just 25 percent from the floor in the extra frames, including five missed shots in one final frantic possession. Dane DiLiegro had 12 points and 12 boards for the visitors before fouling out in the second overtime trying to prevent a Malachi Peay layup; the layup was Maine's last made field goal but gave the Black Bears the lead for good.

Tuesday's games:
No games scheduled. America East play resumes on Thursday.

Post-game Audio & Photos (BU 99, Stony Brook 97, 4 OT's)



Audio from Boston University's historic 99-97 quadruple overtime win against Stony Brook.

BU coach Dennis Wolff's opening statement


John Holland talks about playing a BU record 60 minutes


Holland and Wolff review the ups-and-down of the marathon


Corey Lowe discusses the reason for his slow start to the game


Lowe looks back on how he changed his approach in the second half


Wolff analyzes BU's play at home and on the road


SBU coach Steve Pikiell's opening statement


Pikiell is extremely confident in his rookie players


Pikiell talks about how the program's progressed

Live Blog: Stony Brook University vs. Boston University



This afternoon's game between the Stony Brook University Seawolves (9-8, 1-3) and the Boston University Terriers (7-9, 2-2) tips off at 3:00 p.m.

Here are the starting lineups:

Stony Brook University Seawolves
10 G Bryan Dougher
11 G Marques Cox
35 G Muhammad El-Amin
23 F Dallis Joyner
24 F Tommy Brenton

Boston University Terriers
02 F Matt Wolff
13 G Corey Lowe
21 F Jake O'Brien
23 F John Holland
31 F Scott Brittain

Final Score: Boston University 99, Stony Brook University 97 (Four OT's)

Leading scorers:
SBU -- Chris Martin, 26
BU -- Corey Lowe, 33

Leading rebounders:
SBU --Tommy Brenton, 17
BU -- Scott Brittain, 9

Leading assists:
SBU -- Chris Martin, 4
BU -- Corey Lowe, 7

GAMEDAY: Stony Brook University vs. Boston University

Any year but this, a game at home against Stony Brook would be very easy to predict. The Seawolves have never won at Case Gymnasium since they joined America East, going 0-7 at The Roof since the 2000-01 season. In fact, the Terriers have had SBU's number in all meetings, holding a 12-3 record against them all-time. This year, however, Stony Brook is vastly improved and at 9-8, they've opened some eyes around the conference.

That eye-opening didn't transfer to conference play, though, as Stony Brook has stumbled out of the gate to a 1-3 record. They defeated Maryland-Baltimore County to start their AE slate, but then dropped contests to Binghamton, Maine and Vermont (with a win against Dartmouth thrown in the middle to disrupt a would-be losing streak) to set them up for this afternoon's matchup.

Led by junior guard Muhammad El-Amin, who takes 34.7 percent of the Seawolves' shots (a mark that ranks 19th in the nation), the Seawolves can score in a number of ways -- much different than the days when Ricky "do it all for us" Lucas played for coach Steve Pikell. El-Amin is averaging 14.2 points per game and has strung together seven games of double-figure scoring entering today. Complimenting the junior are a pair of freshman who've been very active for SBU -- Bryan Dougher and Tommy Brenton. Dougher is averaging 11.8 points per game while Brenton is a double-double machine as he's already got four this season and leads the team in rebounding (7.8 rebounds per game, 7.3 points per game).

Given BU's increased interior attack, it will be interesting to see how the Terriers handle Brenton on both ends of the floor. If BU rebounds out of the zone as well as they did against Binghamton (heck, if they do a lot of things as well as they did against Binghamton) they'll be in good shape. Again, the player to watch for the Terriers will be John Holland, who's been lighting teams up lately with 97 points in four conference games. If BU wins this afternoon (in a game that was switched from 7:00 p.m. to coincide with Martin Luther King Jr. ceremonies), they'll be above .500 in conference play for the first time all season and it will be their first winning streak since they won three-straight from November 18-25.

Projected starting lineups:

Sunday, January 18, 2009

Stat of the Week

97

The number of points sophomore guard John Holland has scored in four games against America East opponents. Holland has only scored under 20 points in one game (19 against Vermont) and logged a season-high 28 against Binghamton on Saturday. Holland's recent streak has been the best of his career as he's playing with more confidence than he ever has. BU coach Dennis Wolff is pleased with how controlled Holland looks off the dribble, the decisions he's making with the basketball and his defense. The switch from a man-to-man scheme to a zone defense has helped Holland tremendously and perhaps aided him on the offensive end as well. He's been the best player in the conference over the last four games and the Terriers will need him to continue his accelerated play if they hope to continue winning.

The Day After: BU 81, Binghamton 64

Usually, by this point in a season, a team has somewhat established itself. Fans can get a good sense of what to expect on a nightly basis and change their hopes as believes based on that. With the Boston University men's basketball team, however, that's not even close to the case.

The Terriers, if anything else, have kept things interesting with a number of developing plot lines related to game performances that have made it impossible to predict what team will show up on a given night. Comparing BU's performances against Cornell, Holy Cross and Vermont to their efforts against Northeastern, Notre Dame and Binghamton, you'd think you were analyzing two different teams.

The team that showed up on Saturday against Binghamton -- one of the better teams at the start of the conference schedule, but is on a three-game losing streak -- was a glimpse as to how good (even with two of their top five scorers) the Terriers could be. BU coach Dennis Wolff called it the best team effort of the season, and that was evident in the box score (81-64). Every member of the team save Marques Johnson (eight minutes) had a major impact on the victory and they did so where it didn't show in the box score as well -- defense. The matchup zone was extremely successful against Binghamton, especially their best player in D.J. Rivera (who came in averaging 20.9 points per game) who didn't lead the Bearcats in scoring for the first time all season.

There's no doubt the Terriers don't deserve to be written off whatsoever, especially given the way the conference has played out thus far. America East is one of the more wide-open conferences in the nation and it will be interesting to see how the games shake out on a nightly basis, because (as we've seen) it's hard to know what team will show up on any given night. But, if the Terriers that embarassed Binghamton on their home floor Saturday shows up more often than not, there's no reason BU shouldn't be re-inserted into the talk about potential conference champions.

Pros:
-- Second-half intensity: After losing a grip on a 12-point advantage early in the first half and entering the break up by four, the Terriers came out firing, extending the lead and burying the Bearcats. A fantastic sign for a team that has trouble closing games out.
-- Five dunks: Wolff was searching for aggressiveness and five dunks should have found it, including one by Scott Brittain (his first of the season).

Cons:
-- Marques Johnson's minutes: Wolff said the players on the floor were playing well, which is very true as the individual efforts were all excellent, but Johnson might need more playing time if BU begins to have turnover issues or become fatigued.
-- Binghamton's late run: This is being picky, but it's never good to see 9-0 runs no matter what the score.

Links:
Holland-led Terriers bounce back, rout Binghamton
Boston flattens Bearcats

Saturday, January 17, 2009

Around the League: 1.17.09

Saturday's games:

Maine 72, Albany 61
Continuing the pattern established by other America East front-runners, Albany (11-7, 3-2 America East) found its position atop the conference a bit too much to maintain. Maine (7-11, 2-3 AE) linked two extended runs together late in the first half and early in the second, outscoring the Danes 36-12 to build a 23-point lead with less than 12 minutes remaining. Albany was even with its opponent in rebounding and won the turnover battle but allowed Maine to attempt 24 more free throws. The Black Bears took advantage, making 27 from the charity stripe to supplement nearly 48 percent shooting from the field. Kaimondre Owes led Maine with 20 points on 5-of-7 shooting. The Black Bears stay at the Alfond to welcome conference leaders New Hampshire (more on that later) this Monday, while Albany seeks to protect its still-unblemished home record this Friday against Stony Brook.

Vermont 83, Stony Brook 72
Speaking of games won at the free throw line, Vermont (11-6, 2-2 AE) followed that strategy to a T this afternoon, making 35 of 47 attempts from the line in a game that was closer than the final score indicates. Stony Brook (9-8, 1-3 AE) trailed virtually the entire game, but when Dallis Joyner's jumper fell with 6:01 remaining the Seawolves were within one and red-hot from the field. The Seawolves' comeback attempt stopped there, however, as Marqus Blakely answered for Vermont on the other end to spark a 15-3 run that put the game away. Mike Trimboli arguably benefitted the most from the Catamounts' free-throw parade, scoring 15 points despite 1-of-8 shooting from the field. Stony Brook shot over 55 percent from its home court only to drop its third straight conference game. The Brook heads to Boston for a Martin Luther King, Jr. Day showdown, while Vermont will try to build on its two-game winning streak that evening against Maryland-Baltimore County.

Maryland-Baltimore County 69, Hartford 60

The Retrievers can be dangerous when their scoring options aren't limited to Darryl Proctor. Today was no exception, as five players reached double-digits for Maryland-Baltimore County (8-8, 2-2 AE) en route to victory. In a game characterized by excellent ball-handling and even play on the boards, the Hawks' shooting -- hampered, no doubt, with Joe Zeglinski out for the season -- proved to be its downfall. Hartford (6-12, 2-2 AE) shot less than 35 percent for the game and couldn't generate enough second chance opportunities to make up the difference. Morgan Sabia led all scorers with 18 points in a losing effort. Hartford continues its road trip by heading to Binghamton for a game on Monday, while UMBC hits the road for a battle of .500 teams in Burlington.

New Hampshire 68, Dartmouth 59
The Wildcats defeated their in-state rivals with relative ease, becoming the third America East team to beat the Big Green this season. Dartmouth (2-13, 0-1 Ivy) dropped its eighth straight contest and has yet to beat a Division-I opponent in Hanover during the present campaign. New Hampshire (7-8, 2-1 AE) has won four of its last five and somehow finds itself atop the conference standings less than a week after its blowout loss in Boston. In a game where most statistical categories were fairly even, New Hampshire's five additional made three-point attempts proved the deciding factor. More than half of the Wildcats' makes from beyond the arc came courtesy of Tyrone Conley, who led UNH with 17 points on 6-of-10 shooting. New Hampshire looks to continue its recent success this Monday in Orono.

Sunday's games:
There are no games scheduled. America East play resumes on Monday.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

A Century of Tradition: The other BU

Searching for "BU" on the Internet used to produce results ranging from Boston to Bucknell to Baylor. There's a fair bit of confusion about which institution is "the real BU." Of course, with Google's ability to tailor search results based on an individual's search history and IP address, the effect I refer to is somewhat more difficult to replicate. Technology tends to do that.

Still, the point remains: Which school has the rights to the second and twenty-first letters of the Roman alphabet depends largely on who you ask. Confusion isn't alleviated by limiting the query to America East. Both Boston and Binghamton lay claim to the initials. The Terriers have some advantages in this debate, being an older institution with a richer basketball history, but for our purposes we'll stick with the ultimate arbiter of hoops debates: the head-to-head results on the court.

Binghamton's first season at the Division-I level was the 2001-02 campaign, when the Terriers made their most recent trip to the NCAA Tournament. The Bearcats were just four years removed from Division-III competition. The adjustment period wasn't overly long, but it existed. Dennis Wolff's team swept the America East newcomers in each of the first three seasons. In their fourth season in the conference, the Bearcats finally won a game, splitting the season series and beating rival Albany to the punch (the Great Danes had yet to defeat Boston).

After the Terriers' initial dominance, recent years have been more balanced. While individual games haven't been close -- five of the last six contests were decided by double digits -- the overall series has evened out somewhat. The Terriers' 11-4 advantage overall, though substantial, is entirely a product of winning the first seven meetings.

Of course, outside the major conferences, tournament play is the be-all and end-all of college basketball. On America East's biggest stage, in their only meeting to date, Boston University holds the edge, winning a conference quarterfinal 62-58 in March of 2007. It's a small sample size, but Binghamton has yet to come through against the Terriers with something on the line. Until then, Boston fans will continue to insist on calling Binghamton by its full name -- there can be only one BU.

The Day After: Vermont 70, BU 56

Pros:
-- Building an early lead: The Terriers were able to jump on the Catamounts despite a terrible crowd at Agganis and the talented team that Mike Lonergan's assembled. One wonders if the result would have been different had BU not collapsed before the half.
-- Zone defense: While suspect late in the second half, BU's zone held the Catamounts t0 28 points in the first half. And for a team that's averaging above 75 points per game, that mark is pretty impressive, especially since the Terriers are still learning the intricacies of the matchup zone.

Cons:
-- Agganis losing streak:
-- End-game effort: It appeared as though after the scrum between Matt Wolff and Marqus Blakely, UVM took complete control of the momentum and put the Terriers away to the point of non-effort in the final minutes of the game.
-- Inability to break the press: Even though they worked on it in practice, the Terriers were unable to solve UVM's full-court press, leading to a slew of costly turnovers.

Links:
Cat-astrophe
Catamounts' Full White Press forces 13 turnovers, keys victory over BU

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Post-game Audio & Photos (Vermont 70, BU 56)



BU coach Dennis Wolff's opening statement following a 70-56 loss to Vermont


Wolff discusses losing the 11-point first half lead


Wolff's team will have problems if it gets into foul trouble


Wolff reflects on the competitiveness of America East


UVM coach Mike Lonergan's opening statement


Lonergan praises his teams' full-court press


Marqus Blakely talks about coming off the bench


Lonergan discusses rebounding and teams double teaming Blakely


Blakely has seen many more double teams in the post this season

Around the League: 1.14.09

Wednesday's games:

Hartford 76, Maine 71
Hartford (6-11, 2-1 America East) never trailed and improved to 2-0 at home in conference play with a win over the Black Bears. The Hawks picked up assists on 80 percent of their baskets, carving up the Maine defense and shooting better than 50 percent. The good shooting was necessary -- Maine (6-11, 1-3 AE) performed even better on the boards than their plus-eight rebounding margin would suggest and made 16-0f-19 from the charity stripe. In the end, though, efficient offense carried the day. Jaret von Rosenberg's performance was particularly notable: 26 points on 8-of-13 shooting with five assists and no turnovers. Sean McNally had 10 points and 13 rebounds for the Black Bears. Hartford travels to Maryland-Baltimore County on Saturday, while Maine hosts Albany the same day.

New Hampshire 65, Maryland-Baltimore County 47
The Wildcats bounced back from their crushing loss at Boston University with a big win on their home court against the Retrievers. UMBC (7-8, 1-2 AE) turned in its third consecutive underwhelming performance in conference play, losing the lead midway through the first half and never putting up much of a fight in the second frame. UNH (6-8, 2-1 AE) was aided by a return to competent shooting from beyond the arc (6-of-16) and excellent rebounding. Despite no individual player exceeding seven rebounds, the Wildcats compiled 39 rebounds to the Retrievers' 23, affording the home team additional shooting opportunities and helping the Wildcats pull away in the second half. New Hampshire travels to Dartmouth for an in-state battle on Saturday; the Retrievers' Saturday game is home versus Hartford.

Albany 72, Binghamton 66
The red-hot Danes picked up a third consecutive win, this one against the rival Bearcats. Albany (11-6, 3-1 AE) moved in to a tie for first place with Binghamton on the strength of its free-throw shooting. Binghamton (10-6, 3-1 AE) shot 29 free throws, as did Albany, but Albany made 23 while the Bearcats managed to sink less than half of their attempts. Will Harris had a double-double and the Albany starting backcourt of Anthony Raffa and Tim Ambrose combined for 41 points, enough to overcome surprisingly strong perimeter shooting from Binghamton (the Bearcats shot 10-of-25 from beyond the arc). Binghamton hopes to recover when it hosts Boston on Saturday; Albany travels to Orono for their weekend contest.

Thursday's games:

No games scheduled. America East play resumes on Saturday.

Live Blog: University of Vermont v. Boston University



Tonight's game between the University of Vermont Catamounts (9-6, 0-2) and the Boston University Terriers (6-8, 1-1) tips off at 7:30 p.m. as part of a doubleheader at Agganis Arena.

Here are the starting lineups for tonight's game:

University of Vermont Catamounts
12 G Nick Vier
13 G Mike Trimboli
21 G Garvey Young
40 F Colin McIntosh
45 F Garrett Kissel

Boston University Terriers
02 F Matt Wolff
13 G Corey Lowe
21 F Jake O'Brien
23 F John Holland
31 F Scott Brittain

Final Score: University of Vermont 70, Boston University 56

Leading scorers:
UVM -- Colin McIntosh, 17
BU -- John Holland, 19

Leading rebounders:
UVM -- Two tied at eight
BU -- John Holland, 5

Leading assists:
UVM -- Mike Trimboli, 5
BU -- Marques Johnson, 3

GAMEDAY: University of Vermont vs. Boston University

Things have been a little hectic beginning the new year for the Terriers, but perhaps there's one bigger surprise in the league than BU's underachieving non-conference portion of the schedule -- the University of Vermont's 0-2 start to America East play. In a league where the champion may only lose two or three games all season, the team that established itself as a prominent favorite after BU began to falter was UVM. Boasting a prolific offense filled with scorers who can torch teams in a number of ways, the Catamounts are averaging 78.1 points per game and enjoyed a successful non-conference schedule.

Losses to Binghamton University and the University at Albany, however, have somewhat turned the league upside down and given teams (if they didn't already believe so) the hope that any one opponent can beat any other on any given night -- especially since Albany's win came at Patrick Gymnasium.

The Terriers, playing without two of their top five scorers (Carlos Strong and Tyler Morris who are both out for the season) will need to adapt exactly that mentality if they hope to topple the Catamounts. BU's new blend of inside-outside offense could aid the Terriers and help eliminate extended dry spells while shooting from the perimeter, especially at Agganis Arena, where the team hasn't been known to shoot particularly well. Speaking of top scorers, Wednesday's game (which will be televised on NESN and ESPN Full Court) will feature five of the top seven scorers in America East in UVM's Mike Trimboli (15.8), Marqus Blakely (15.3) and Colin McIntosh (14.0) and BU's Corey Lowe (17.0) and John Holland (15.8).

Perhaps more so than BU's new offensive mentality, Holland could have one of the biggest impacts on the game. Coming off two consecutive 25-point performances to begin league play and a recent America East Player of the Week award (shared with UMBC's Darryl Proctor), BU coach Dennis Wolff has said Holland's played two of the best games he's ever played as a Terrier. If Holland's hot streak continues, the Catamounts will be forced to key-in on the dangerous weapon who can score from anywhere on the floor and that will make things a lot easier for BU's other scorers. Perhaps Holland has benefited from the team's change in defense, switching from man-to-man to a zone after news of the injuries to prevent a high number of fouls as well as fatigue. It will be interesting to see how UVM's high-powered offense reacts to the Terriers' zone and how they will try to break it given their extremely deep and balanced amount of offensive talent.

Projected starting lineups:

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Around the League: 1.13.09

Tuesday's game:

Stony Brook 60, Dartmouth 52
The Seawolves took a slight hiatus from league play to visit 2-12 Dartmouth. The game was competitive for most of the way until Stony Brook (9-7) was able to pull away at the end. Muhammad El-Amin was 8-of-18 from the field for a game-high 20 points while Tommy Brenton had a game-high 10 rebounds. Alex Barnett led the Big Green in both rebounds (8) and points (11), but it wasn't enough to avoid their seventh-straight loss.

Wednesday's games:
Maine vs. Hartford, 7:00 p.m.
Maryland-Baltimore County vs. New Hampshire, 7:00 p.m.
Binghamton vs. Albany, 7:00 p.m.

Monday, January 12, 2009

State of America East

Vermont at the bottom of the America East standings? Who would have guessed? After two months to get an idea of each teams' strength, the beginning of conference play bumps up against preconceived notions of who should win each game. Unexpected results are a given. Is it time to rethink conclusions from November and December? Let's take a look:

America East Power Rankings (records versus D-I opponents only):

1. Binghamton Bearcats
9-5 (3-0 AE), RPI 108, SOS 221
Last week: W 67-60 vs. Maine, W 91-83 (OT) vs. Vermont, L 80-70 at Utah Valley
This week: 1/14 at Albany, 1/17 vs. Boston University

Ladies and gentlemen, I'd like you to welcome D.J. Rivera, America East Player of the Year candidate. With the reigning POY on the court, Rivera outshone Marqus Blakely and gave Binghamton a huge January win on its home court. His 29 points, 12 boards, and six steals were all game-highs. With Rivera, Malik Alvin, Tiki Mayben and Dwayne Jackson, the Bearcats are in possession of the conference's best backcourt. With Albany and BU on the horizon, the Bearcats have a chance to provide some real separation in the America East standings. Regular season crowns aren't won in January, but a 5-0 start would be difficult for the rest of America East to overcome.

2. Vermont Catamounts
9-6 (0-2 AE), RPI 155, SOS 227
Last week: L 91-83 at Binghamton, L 82-77 vs. Albany
This week: 1/14 at Boston University, 1/17 at Stony Brook

Vermont's early January schedule is a gauntlet, but that doesn't excuse being outplayed by two consecutive opponents. The next two games aren't a whole lot easier either. As good as the Catamounts are, repeating the Albany performance will very likely leave them in a massive 0-4 hole. Vermont did better in non-conference play than the rest of America East and can be expected to revert to form sooner or later. Catamount fans are hoping it's sooner.

3. Albany Great Danes
10-6 (2-1 AE), RPI 105, SOS 254
Last week: W 61-60 vs. Boston University, W 82-77 at Vermont
This week: 1/14 vs. Binghamton, 1/17 at Maine

The margin of victory wasn't great in either win, but be impressed by Albany's performance in the last two games. The Terriers showed up at SEFCU Arena and gave the Great Danes. Albany took it on the chin but stood up and made big plays down the stretch. Understanding the value of a road win against Vermont should require no explanation. Albany's season-opening loss to Hartford, however, makes Wednesday's clash with the rival Bearcats all the more important for the Great Danes' regular season title chances. A loss would put the Great Danes two games out of first. Cutting down on turnovers would help -- Albany coughed up the ball 21 times against Vermont.

4. Boston University Terriers
6-8 (1-1 AE), RPI 239, SOS 261
Last week: L 61-60 at Albany, W 68-37 vs. New Hampshire
This week: 1/14 vs. Vermont, 1/17 at Binghamton

Disaster may have struck the Terriers' roster, but BU has turned in two consecutive impressive performances after appearing to be on the ropes heading into Albany. While Dennis Wolff would obviously prefer to be 2-0 in conference play, the necessary decision to try and get more offense out of the post is already paying dividends. BU still has enough healthy, talented players to stay in contention. This week will decide a lot for the Terriers. Agganis has not resembled much of a home court for BU and Vermont will arrive in desperate need of a win after dropping its first two games. Winning at Binghamton may be asking too much, but BU has to find a way to avoid squandering momentum and falling to 1-3 in the conference.

5. Stony Brook Seawolves
7-7 (1-2 AE), RPI 209, SOS 274
Last week: L 67-60 at Binghamton, L 64-54 vs. Maine
This week: 1/13 at Dartmouth, 1/17 vs. Vermont

Stony Brook could easily be sixth in these rankings, but the road win against UMBC still holds plenty of weight. Losing at home to Maine is the Seawolves' first poor result in quite some time. Bryan Dougher had a miserable outing, quite unlike most of his play this season. With Dougher having an off night, the offense sputtered, missing fully two-thirds of its shots and committing seven more turnovers than the Black Bears. Stony Brook's roster isn't stocked with shooters, so there will be more nights where shots aren't falling, but the Seawolves are normally very good at taking care of the ball and forcing turnovers at the other end, suggesting the Maine performance is an anomaly.

6. Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers
6-7 (1-1 AE), RPI 190, SOS 174
Last week: W 61-59 vs. Maine
This week: 1/14 at New Hampshire, 1/17 vs. Hartford

Darryl Proctor is carrying the Retrievers right now. Even an average performance from Proctor on Saturday would have saddled UMBC with a second home loss against teams outside the upper tier of America East. Jay Greene has upped his scoring average from last year but isn't a consistent second option for the Retrievers, and despite only six players playing significant minutes (or any minutes at all, in many cases), there isn't a third player scoring in double figures. The Retrievers are in the precarious position of having neither depth nor balance on offense. Proctor is an excellent player, but he's not a one-man team. He may have to be, though.

7. Hartford Hawks
5-11 (1-1 AE), RPI 238, SOS 169
Last week: L 55-47 at New Hampshire, L 71-63 at Yale
This week: 1/14 vs. Maine, 1/17 at Maryland-Baltimore County

Road losses are expected from the bottom teams in the conference. Winning at home is what will help Hartford avoid the cellar, and despite losing both games this past week, the Hawks are 1-0 against conference opponents at Chase Arena. Hartford is 3-2 at home but just 1-8 in true road games, making opportunities to play on campus that much more important. The Hawks aren't catching Maine at the most opportune time, but even at 1-1 in conference play, Wednesday's game is one the Hawks need more than most.

8. Maine Black Bears
5-10 (1-2 AE), RPI 231, SOS 196
Last week: W 64-54 at Stony Brook, L 61-59 at Maryland-Baltimore County
This week: 1/14 at Hartford, 1/17 vs. Albany

The Black Bears are currently just one spot from bottom in the standings but have kept it close in both losses to conference foes and looked reasonably impressive against Stony Brook. Maine's home slate is tough in the early half ot the season, with New Hampshire being the only team in the bottom half of these power rankings to visit Alfond Arena in the first half of the conference schedule. That being said, if Maine can collect another win or two on the road, the Black Bears should be in decent shape come February. Despite Hartford's winning record at Chase Arena, Wednesday is one of Maine's better chances for a road win. The Black Bears displayed excellent discipline against Stony Brook -- just nine turnovers and nine fouls -- and should aim for a repeat performance in Connecticut.

9. New Hampshire Wildcats
4-8 (1-1 AE), RPI 278, SOS 281
Last week: W 55-47 vs. Hartford, L 68-37 at Boston University
This week: 1/14 vs. Maryland-Baltimore County, 1/17 at Dartmouth

The home win against Hartford was nice, but New Hampshire completely lost the plot, not to mention its shooting touch, in Sunday's game at The Roof. While Case has historically been a house of horrors for the Wildcats, losing by 31 points to an undermanned conference foe is inexcusable. Consider this: in each of the other nine games this past week involving at least one America East team, the final margin of victory never exceeded ten points. For that matter, no America East contest this year or last year was decided by more points (although two games equaled the 31-point spread). Worse yet, the 3-happy Wildcats missed all save two of their 33 attempts from deep. UNH has a lot in need of fixing and increasingly less time left to work with.

Conference performance
OOC record: 50-57 (Last 7 days: 0-2)
Conference RPI: 16 out of 31 (last week: 16)
Conference SOS: 24 out of 31 (last week: 23)

Not much to report here, as the conference's resumé remained relatively static last week and is likely to stay that way.

Tempo-free statistics


Other than Maine leapfrogging New Hampshire -- more a product of New Hampshire's disastrous trip to Boston than Maine's solid play -- the order of teams in this table remains unchanged from last week. Raw efficiency weights each possession the same, so Binghamton and Hartford rank lower here than their current form would suggest due to worse play early in the season. As more conference games are played, we will include a conference-only table to help isolate teams' performance from conference play.

The fact that New Hampshire's efficiency margin got worse despite winning a game this week reinforces how awful their play was on Sunday. Remember, for teams with very negative efficiency margins, even an average performance -- a close win or loss -- will produce a positive movement in the overall margin. New Hampshire won by a reasonable score against Hartford but played so poorly against BU that the efficiency margin's net movement for the week was nearly -2 despite starting the week below -9. Getting outscored by nearly a two-to-one ratio will do that.